Socio-economic Nexus Investigation on the Future of the Iranian Gas industry

  • Nima Norouzi Energy department, Amirkabir university of technology, Tehran, Iran
Keywords: energy portfolio, energy market, energy trade, energy policy, MAN model, gas industry, scenario planning, natural gas, uncertainty


Iran is holding 33.5 billion cubic meters of gas, with an 18% share of oil and gas reservoirs worldwide. Productive hydrocarbon reservoirs are among the most important competitive advantages of Iran and a specific geographic location. In this study, the likely and credible future of Iran’s fossil energy (gas) on the horizon of 2035 is presented in the four-part state. Using the Maleki-Abbaszadeh-Norouzi (MAN) model, among the 300 scenarios, ten scenarios with the maximum adaptability were obtained, which is presented in two scenarios: The eternal blossoming and the Marshland. Moreover, projections show that Iranian gas production reaches 7.8 million barrels of oil equivalent per day in the eternal blossoming and 120 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day in the Marshland scenario by 2035. This paper shows that the geopolitical status of the Middle East is highly effective in the gas industry.


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How to Cite
Norouzi, N. (2022). Socio-economic Nexus Investigation on the Future of the Iranian Gas industry. Majlesi Journal of Energy Management, 11(2), 7-22. Retrieved from